Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 954.364960 1092.503287 1251.244822 1448.897410 1690.857123 1980.655140 2.359011e+03
2024-10-13 758.797912 927.465813 1139.849549 1432.914146 1836.788254 2389.740539 3.234332e+03
2024-10-20 652.237881 824.792031 1052.838295 1385.828976 1877.094038 2606.456747 3.839240e+03
2024-10-27 569.552637 740.929232 976.857414 1338.657683 1905.918383 2813.746595 4.506933e+03
2024-11-03 535.328368 715.392544 973.194371 1388.058609 2079.842840 3277.652515 5.767818e+03
2024-11-10 502.088110 686.611720 959.923958 1418.921690 2228.420477 3738.065750 7.233533e+03
2024-11-17 471.239396 657.088711 940.450626 1434.305564 2349.865159 4178.079050 8.876441e+03
2024-11-24 437.528073 619.594266 903.703693 1414.046365 2400.292369 4488.384236 1.038105e+04
2024-12-01 417.865154 601.747501 896.047171 1442.685068 2549.861413 5059.303114 1.299920e+04
2024-12-08 404.649357 592.677295 901.480352 1495.300646 2759.409636 5846.524648 1.700023e+04
2024-12-15 387.647685 575.777902 891.454316 1516.539293 2905.584684 6531.064252 2.138282e+04
2024-12-22 367.386714 551.752444 866.437767 1504.432136 2972.948330 7026.840355 2.559958e+04
2024-12-29 354.024125 539.327834 862.703553 1538.981467 3170.830756 8038.524211 3.433735e+04
2025-01-05 330.894115 508.471152 822.578611 1492.170048 3156.466071 8375.909131 3.997038e+04
2025-01-12 311.571329 482.761267 789.530918 1455.739778 3160.576665 8783.478774 4.718806e+04
2025-01-19 291.576080 454.595943 749.596616 1399.339211 3099.644545 8933.472224 5.294861e+04
2025-01-26 286.230604 452.167837 758.758800 1454.789689 3367.401787 10538.972720 7.945356e+04
2025-02-02 278.527780 444.863105 757.614985 1486.202017 3575.244204 12063.594342 1.162154e+05
2025-02-09 269.906729 435.239391 750.904333 1503.281603 3744.880174 13563.138619 1.691096e+05
2025-02-16 258.184772 419.082369 729.541687 1481.377962 3782.883293 14429.427218 2.216981e+05
2025-02-23 252.125288 413.228911 728.982900 1512.029680 4009.655523 16595.244581 3.697604e+05
2025-03-02 248.542932 411.843568 737.644166 1568.011501 4347.603207 19903.629423 7.725521e+05
2025-03-09 242.360745 405.005734 734.000986 1590.690659 4571.322755 22781.207663 1.589018e+06